DATA FOR OBAMA’S SOUR APPLES TO APPLES

 

Lins to April 11-13 SUSA Polls : California, Iowa, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Mexico, Ohio, Oregon, and Wisconsin. 

Links to the Feb 26-28 SUSA polls can be found here.

Note:  The “*AVG*” data is the average for the nine states.  Data is not weighed to reflect the population differences in those states.

 

A full set of relevant data (in an excel file) is available upon request by writing to

Election

At

glcq

Dot

com

 

 

CHART A-1

CHART A-1 DATA--ALL VOTERS

 

Feb HRC

April HRC

Feb BHO

April BHO

CA

10%

13%

11%

7%

IA

-5%

-6%

9%

7%

MA

18%

15%

7%

2%

MN

4%

1%

7%

6%

MO

-4%

1%

-6%

-8%

NM

0%

-3%

7%

-6%

OH

10%

11%

10%

-2%

OR

-5%

1%

8%

9%

WI

4%

0%

11%

5%

*AVG*

3.6%

3.7%

7.1%

2.2%

 

 

CHART A-2

 

CHART A-2 DATA--ALL VOTERS—MARGIN CHANGE

 

HRC Feb to April Change

BHO Feb to April Change

CA

3%

-4%

IA

-1%

-2%

MA

-3%

-5%

MN

-3%

-1%

MO

5%

-2%

NM

-3%

-13%

OH

1%

-12%

OR

6%

1%

WI

-4%

-6%

*AVG*

0.1%

-4.9%

 

CHART A-3

 

CHART A-1 DATA--ALL VOTERS--UNDECIDED

 

Feb HRC

April HRC

Feb BHO

April BHO

CA

10%

7%

9%

8%

IA

12%

11%

9%

9%

MA

8%

3%

9%

7%

MN

10%

7%

9%

8%

MO

9%

6%

10%

8%

NM

6%

6%

7%

6%

OH

10%

4%

10%

8%

OR

9%

7%

11%

7%

WI

8%

8%

9%

6%

*AVG*

9.1%

6.6%

9.2%

7.4%

 

 

CHART A-4

CHART A-4 DATA--ALL VOTERS--SUPPORT

 

Feb HRC

April HRC

Feb BHO

April BHO

CA

50%

53%

51%

50%

IA

41%

42%

50%

49%

MA

55%

56%

49%

48%

MN

47%

47%

49%

49%

MO

44%

47%

42%

42%

NM

47%

46%

50%

44%

OH

50%

53%

50%

45%

OR

43%

47%

49%

51%

WI

48%

46%

51%

49%

*AVG*

47.2%

48.6%

49.0%

47.4%

 

 

CHART A-5

CHART A-5 DATA--ALL VOTERS—SUPPORT CHANGE

 

HRC Feb to April Change

BHO Feb to April Change

CA

3%

-1%

IA

1%

-1%

MA

1%

-1%