| DATA FOR OBAMA’S SOUR
APPLES TO APPLES PART THREE |
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| Links
to April 11-13 SUSA Polls : |
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California |
Iowa, |
Massachusetts, |
Minnesota, |
Missouri, |
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New
Mexico, |
Ohio, |
Oregon, |
Wisconsin. |
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| Links
to the Feb 26-28 SUSA polls can be found here. |
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| Note:
The “*AVG*” data is the average for the nine states. Data is not weighed to reflect the |
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population differences in
those states. |
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| A full set of relevant data (in an excel file)
is available upon request by writing to |
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Election |
AT |
glcq |
DOT |
com |
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| SUSA POLLING DATA USED (see chart C-0 data for
Demographic Composition) |
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SUSA POLLING DATA :
FEB 26-28, CLINTON V McCAIN,
PARTY AND IDEOLOGY |
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McCain |
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Clinton |
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All |
GOP |
Dem |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
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All |
GOP |
Dem |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
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| CA |
40% |
77% |
16% |
42% |
72% |
37% |
14% |
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CA |
50% |
16% |
77% |
42% |
20% |
54% |
74% |
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| IA |
46% |
86% |
17% |
53% |
83% |
38% |
16% |
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IA |
41% |
7% |
71% |
30% |
9% |
49% |
68% |
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| MA |
37% |
83% |
13% |
43% |
77% |
34% |
12% |
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MA |
55% |
13% |
82% |
46% |
14% |
58% |
85% |
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| MN |
43% |
86% |
10% |
50% |
78% |
32% |
15% |
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MN |
47% |
10% |
85% |
32% |
12% |
57% |
81% |
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| MO |
48% |
88% |
15% |
51% |
81% |
38% |
16% |
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MO |
44% |
8% |
76% |
38% |
12% |
54% |
81% |
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| NM |
47% |
88% |
17% |
60% |
81% |
45% |
15% |
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NM |
47% |
10% |
77% |
31% |
14% |
50% |
78% |
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| OH |
40% |
82% |
15% |
43% |
74% |
37% |
19% |
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OH |
50% |
11% |
78% |
41% |
16% |
56% |
75% |
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| OR |
48% |
83% |
16% |
53% |
80% |
44% |
18% |
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OR |
43% |
12% |
75% |
34% |
10% |
47% |
74% |
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| WI |
44% |
86% |
11% |
52% |
80% |
38% |
11% |
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WI |
48% |
10% |
81% |
39% |
16% |
55% |
77% |
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SUSA POLLING DATA : APRIL
11-13, CLINTON V McCAIN, PARTY AND
IDEOLOGY |
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McCain |
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Clinton |
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All |
GOP |
Dem |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
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All |
GOP |
Dem |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
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| CA |
40% |
80% |
17% |
36% |
75% |
43% |
7% |
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CA |
53% |
15% |
76% |
51% |
20% |
50% |
86% |
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| IA |
48% |
89% |
11% |
58% |
83% |
40% |
24% |
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IA |
42% |
7% |
75% |
32% |
14% |
50% |
57% |
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| MA |
41% |
75% |
12% |
59% |
75% |
45% |
10% |
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MA |
56% |
25% |
86% |
37% |
25% |
52% |
87% |
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| MN |
46% |
88% |
18% |
53% |
85% |
45% |
10% |
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MN |
47% |
10% |
75% |
37% |
13% |
50% |
81% |
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| MO |
46% |
92% |
15% |
52% |
81% |
38% |
15% |
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MO |
47% |
7% |
76% |
43% |
16% |
57% |
75% |
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| NM |
49% |
88% |
21% |
54% |
78% |
43% |
18% |
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NM |
46% |
9% |
72% |
37% |
18% |
51% |
72% |
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| OH |
42% |
88% |
12% |
50% |
81% |
30% |
16% |
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OH |
53% |
10% |
82% |
47% |
17% |
65% |
80% |
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| OR |
46% |
81% |
17% |
54% |
81% |
40% |
26% |
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OR |
47% |
15% |
77% |
35% |
13% |
54% |
71% |
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| WI |
46% |
90% |
14% |
53% |
83% |
41% |
12% |
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WI |
46% |
9% |
80% |
36% |
14% |
52% |
80% |
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SUSA POLLING DATA : FEB
26-28, OBAMA V McCAIN, PARTY AND
IDEOLOGY |
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McCain |
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Obama |
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All |
GOP |
Dem |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
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All |
GOP |
Dem |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
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| CA |
40% |
73% |
21% |
33% |
75% |
35% |
14% |
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CA |
51% |
21% |
70% |
53% |
21% |
56% |
78% |
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| IA |
41% |
76% |
21% |
37% |
74% |
34% |
10% |
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IA |
50% |
16% |
71% |
51% |
15% |
57% |
85% |
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| MA |
42% |
77% |
23% |
47% |
74% |
39% |
23% |
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MA |
49% |
18% |
67% |
43% |
18% |
52% |
68% |
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| MN |
42% |
85% |
13% |
37% |
75% |
31% |
14% |
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MN |
49% |
10% |
83% |
49% |
16% |
60% |
83% |
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| MO |
48% |
87% |
19% |
49% |
82% |
37% |
16% |
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MO |
42% |
10% |
70% |
37% |
13% |
51% |
75% |
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| NM |
43% |
72% |
24% |
41% |
79% |
40% |
9% |
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NM |
50% |
23% |
68% |
48% |
15% |
52% |
85% |
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| OH |
40% |
76% |
24% |
28% |
72% |
35% |
17% |
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OH |
50% |
16% |
66% |
60% |
16% |
56% |
73% |
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| OR |
41% |
68% |
16% |
47% |
72% |
37% |
15% |
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OR |
49% |
22% |
77% |
42% |
15% |
54% |
81% |
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| WI |
40% |
76% |
13% |
45% |
80% |
29% |
13% |
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WI |
51% |
18% |
77% |
44% |
14% |
61% |
80% |
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SUSA POLLING DATA : APRIL
11-13, OBAMA V McCAIN, PARTY AND
IDEOLOGY |
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McCain |
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Obama |
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All |
GOP |
Dem |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
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All |
GOP |
Dem |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
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| CA |
43% |
75% |
21% |
45% |
74% |
45% |
14% |
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CA |
50% |
23% |
69% |
43% |
21% |
46% |
78% |
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| IA |
42% |
82% |
11% |
49% |
82% |
32% |
20% |
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IA |
49% |
15% |
79% |
41% |
15% |
61% |
70% |
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| MA |
46% |
73% |
28% |
54% |
80% |
50% |
11% |
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MA |
48% |
24% |
65% |
40% |
13% |
42% |
83% |
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| MN |
43% |
85% |
14% |
49% |
79% |
38% |
14% |
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MN |
49% |
13% |
78% |
42% |
18% |
56% |
79% |
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| MO |
50% |
92% |
27% |
47% |
86% |
38% |
21% |
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MO |
42% |
6% |
64% |
47% |
9% |
54% |
71% |
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| NM |
50% |
81% |
29% |
46% |
73% |
50% |
19% |
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NM |
44% |
15% |
64% |
42% |
22% |
44% |
74% |
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| OH |
47% |
87% |
24% |
45% |
76% |
40% |
24% |
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OH |
45% |
11% |
65% |
47% |
20% |
53% |
69% |
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| OR |
42% |
76% |
15% |
49% |
78% |
32% |
26% |
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OR |
51% |
20% |
77% |
41% |
18% |
59% |
69% |
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| WI |
44% |
87% |
15% |
45% |
83% |
36% |
14% |
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WI |
49% |
12% |
79% |
46% |
14% |
58% |
78% |
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| CHART C-0 |
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CHART C-0 |
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| CHART C-0 is based on the averages of the February and April
demographic percentages. |
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| “Other party” and “other ideology” appears
as black space on the chart, and is calculated as |
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| the difference between 100% and the sums of
the demographic category breakowns |
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i.e.. “Other party” = 100% minus (Dem % plus GOP% plus IND%) |
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| CHART C-0 DATA: DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWNS BY PARTY AND
IDEOLOGY, |
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| AVERAGE, FEBRARY &
APRIL |
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| Average of February and April Percentages |
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PARTY |
IDEOLOGY |
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Republican |
Independent |
Democrat |
Other party |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Other ideology |
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| CA |
32.0% |
17.0% |
47.0% |
4.0% |
25.0% |
41.5% |
22.0% |
11.5% |
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| IA |
29.5% |
24.5% |
42.0% |
4.0% |
29.0% |
39.0% |
18.0% |
14.0% |
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| MA |
17.0% |
38.0% |
42.5% |
2.5% |
19.5% |
43.0% |
24.5% |
13.0% |
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| MN |
28.0% |
22.5% |
39.5% |
10.0% |
27.5% |
43.5% |
17.0% |
12.0% |
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| MO |
26.0% |
25.5% |
40.5% |
8.0% |
29.5% |
42.0% |
15.0% |
13.5% |
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| NM |
33.5% |
13.5% |
50.5% |
2.5% |
28.0% |
38.5% |
20.0% |
13.5% |
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| OH |
28.5% |
17.5% |
49.0% |
5.0% |
27.0% |
41.0% |
16.5% |
15.5% |
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| OR |
32.5% |
21.5% |
42.0% |
4.0% |
27.5% |
38.0% |
23.0% |
11.5% |
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| WI |
24.5% |
26.5% |
40.5% |
8.5% |
28.5% |
37.5% |
19.5% |
14.5% |
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| *AVG* |
27.9% |
22.9% |
43.7% |
5.4% |
26.8% |
40.4% |
19.5% |
13.2% |
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| February 26-28 Poll Breakdowns |
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PARTY |
IDEOLOGY |
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Republican |
Independent |
Democrat |
Other party |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Other ideology |
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| CA |
33% |
16% |
47% |
4% |
26% |
40% |
22% |
12% |
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| IA |
27% |
26% |
43% |
4% |
29% |
40% |
16% |
15% |
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| MA |
18% |
36% |
42% |
4% |
20% |
43% |
22% |
15% |
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| MN |
29% |
23% |
38% |
10% |
30% |
42% |
17% |
11% |
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| MO |
28% |
23% |
41% |
8% |
29% |
44% |
11% |
16% |
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| NM |
33% |
14% |
50% |
3% |
26% |
42% |
20% |
12% |
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| OH |
26% |
18% |
49% |
7% |
22% |
44% |
15% |
19% |
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| OR |
33% |
22% |
40% |
5% |
28% |
39% |
20% |
13% |
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| WI |
28% |
22% |
43% |
7% |
29% |
36% |
19% |
16% |
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| *AVG* |
28.3% |
22.2% |
43.7% |
5.8% |
26.6% |
41.1% |
18.0% |
14.3% |
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April 11-13 Poll
Breakdowns |
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