DATA FOR OBAMA’S SOUR APPLES TO APPLES PART THREE
Links to April 11-13 SUSA Polls :
	California	Iowa,	Massachusetts,		Minnesota,	Missouri,
	New Mexico,		Ohio,	Oregon,	Wisconsin.
Links to the Feb 26-28 SUSA polls can be found here.
Note:  The “*AVG*” data is the average for the nine states.  Data is not weighed to reflect the
	population differences in those states.
A full set of relevant data (in an excel file) is available upon request by writing to
	Election	AT	glcq	DOT	com
SUSA POLLING DATA USED (see chart C-0 data for Demographic Composition)
	SUSA POLLING DATA :  FEB 26-28,  CLINTON V McCAIN, PARTY AND IDEOLOGY
	McCain									Clinton
	All	GOP	Dem	Ind.	Cons.	Mod.	Lib.			All	GOP	Dem	Ind.	Cons.	Mod.	Lib.
CA	40%	77%	16%	42%	72%	37%	14%		CA	50%	16%	77%	42%	20%	54%	74%
IA	46%	86%	17%	53%	83%	38%	16%		IA	41%	7%	71%	30%	9%	49%	68%
MA	37%	83%	13%	43%	77%	34%	12%		MA	55%	13%	82%	46%	14%	58%	85%
MN	43%	86%	10%	50%	78%	32%	15%		MN	47%	10%	85%	32%	12%	57%	81%
MO	48%	88%	15%	51%	81%	38%	16%		MO	44%	8%	76%	38%	12%	54%	81%
NM	47%	88%	17%	60%	81%	45%	15%		NM	47%	10%	77%	31%	14%	50%	78%
OH	40%	82%	15%	43%	74%	37%	19%		OH	50%	11%	78%	41%	16%	56%	75%
OR	48%	83%	16%	53%	80%	44%	18%		OR	43%	12%	75%	34%	10%	47%	74%
WI	44%	86%	11%	52%	80%	38%	11%		WI	48%	10%	81%	39%	16%	55%	77%
	SUSA POLLING DATA :  APRIL 11-13,  CLINTON V McCAIN, PARTY AND IDEOLOGY
	McCain									Clinton
	All	GOP	Dem	Ind.	Cons.	Mod.	Lib.			All	GOP	Dem	Ind.	Cons.	Mod.	Lib.
CA	40%	80%	17%	36%	75%	43%	7%		CA	53%	15%	76%	51%	20%	50%	86%
IA	48%	89%	11%	58%	83%	40%	24%		IA	42%	7%	75%	32%	14%	50%	57%
MA	41%	75%	12%	59%	75%	45%	10%		MA	56%	25%	86%	37%	25%	52%	87%
MN	46%	88%	18%	53%	85%	45%	10%		MN	47%	10%	75%	37%	13%	50%	81%
MO	46%	92%	15%	52%	81%	38%	15%		MO	47%	7%	76%	43%	16%	57%	75%
NM	49%	88%	21%	54%	78%	43%	18%		NM	46%	9%	72%	37%	18%	51%	72%
OH	42%	88%	12%	50%	81%	30%	16%		OH	53%	10%	82%	47%	17%	65%	80%
OR	46%	81%	17%	54%	81%	40%	26%		OR	47%	15%	77%	35%	13%	54%	71%
WI	46%	90%	14%	53%	83%	41%	12%		WI	46%	9%	80%	36%	14%	52%	80%
	SUSA POLLING DATA :  FEB 26-28,  OBAMA V McCAIN, PARTY AND IDEOLOGY
	McCain									Obama
	All	GOP	Dem	Ind.	Cons.	Mod.	Lib.			All	GOP	Dem	Ind.	Cons.	Mod.	Lib.
CA	40%	73%	21%	33%	75%	35%	14%		CA	51%	21%	70%	53%	21%	56%	78%
IA	41%	76%	21%	37%	74%	34%	10%		IA	50%	16%	71%	51%	15%	57%	85%
MA	42%	77%	23%	47%	74%	39%	23%		MA	49%	18%	67%	43%	18%	52%	68%
MN	42%	85%	13%	37%	75%	31%	14%		MN	49%	10%	83%	49%	16%	60%	83%
MO	48%	87%	19%	49%	82%	37%	16%		MO	42%	10%	70%	37%	13%	51%	75%
NM	43%	72%	24%	41%	79%	40%	9%		NM	50%	23%	68%	48%	15%	52%	85%
OH	40%	76%	24%	28%	72%	35%	17%		OH	50%	16%	66%	60%	16%	56%	73%
OR	41%	68%	16%	47%	72%	37%	15%		OR	49%	22%	77%	42%	15%	54%	81%
WI	40%	76%	13%	45%	80%	29%	13%		WI	51%	18%	77%	44%	14%	61%	80%
	SUSA POLLING DATA :  APRIL 11-13,  OBAMA V McCAIN, PARTY AND IDEOLOGY
	McCain									Obama
	All	GOP	Dem	Ind.	Cons.	Mod.	Lib.			All	GOP	Dem	Ind.	Cons.	Mod.	Lib.
CA	43%	75%	21%	45%	74%	45%	14%		CA	50%	23%	69%	43%	21%	46%	78%
IA	42%	82%	11%	49%	82%	32%	20%		IA	49%	15%	79%	41%	15%	61%	70%
MA	46%	73%	28%	54%	80%	50%	11%		MA	48%	24%	65%	40%	13%	42%	83%
MN	43%	85%	14%	49%	79%	38%	14%		MN	49%	13%	78%	42%	18%	56%	79%
MO	50%	92%	27%	47%	86%	38%	21%		MO	42%	6%	64%	47%	9%	54%	71%
NM	50%	81%	29%	46%	73%	50%	19%		NM	44%	15%	64%	42%	22%	44%	74%
OH	47%	87%	24%	45%	76%	40%	24%		OH	45%	11%	65%	47%	20%	53%	69%
OR	42%	76%	15%	49%	78%	32%	26%		OR	51%	20%	77%	41%	18%	59%	69%
WI	44%	87%	15%	45%	83%	36%	14%		WI	49%	12%	79%	46%	14%	58%	78%
CHART C-0											CHART C-0
CHART C-0 is based on  the averages of the February and April demographic percentages.
“Other party” and “other ideology” appears as black space on the chart, and is calculated as
the difference between 100% and the sums of the demographic category breakowns
, i.e.. “Other party” = 100% minus (Dem % plus GOP% plus IND%)
CHART C-0 DATA:  DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWNS BY PARTY AND IDEOLOGY,
AVERAGE, FEBRARY & APRIL
Average of February and April Percentages
	PARTY				IDEOLOGY
	Republican	Independent	Democrat	Other party	Conservative	Moderate	Liberal	Other ideology
CA	32.0%	17.0%	47.0%	4.0%	25.0%	41.5%	22.0%	11.5%
IA	29.5%	24.5%	42.0%	4.0%	29.0%	39.0%	18.0%	14.0%
MA	17.0%	38.0%	42.5%	2.5%	19.5%	43.0%	24.5%	13.0%
MN	28.0%	22.5%	39.5%	10.0%	27.5%	43.5%	17.0%	12.0%
MO	26.0%	25.5%	40.5%	8.0%	29.5%	42.0%	15.0%	13.5%
NM	33.5%	13.5%	50.5%	2.5%	28.0%	38.5%	20.0%	13.5%
OH	28.5%	17.5%	49.0%	5.0%	27.0%	41.0%	16.5%	15.5%
OR	32.5%	21.5%	42.0%	4.0%	27.5%	38.0%	23.0%	11.5%
WI	24.5%	26.5%	40.5%	8.5%	28.5%	37.5%	19.5%	14.5%
*AVG*	27.9%	22.9%	43.7%	5.4%	26.8%	40.4%	19.5%	13.2%
February 26-28 Poll Breakdowns
	PARTY				IDEOLOGY
	Republican	Independent	Democrat	Other party	Conservative	Moderate	Liberal	Other ideology
CA	33%	16%	47%	4%	26%	40%	22%	12%
IA	27%	26%	43%	4%	29%	40%	16%	15%
MA	18%	36%	42%	4%	20%	43%	22%	15%
MN	29%	23%	38%	10%	30%	42%	17%	11%
MO	28%	23%	41%	8%	29%	44%	11%	16%
NM	33%	14%	50%	3%	26%	42%	20%	12%
OH	26%	18%	49%	7%	22%	44%	15%	19%
OR	33%	22%	40%	5%	28%	39%	20%	13%
WI	28%	22%	43%	7%	29%	36%	19%	16%
*AVG*	28.3%	22.2%	43.7%	5.8%	26.6%	41.1%	18.0%	14.3%
	April 11-13 Poll Breakdowns
	PARTY				IDEOLOGY
	Republican	Independent	Democrat	Other party	Conservative	Moderate	Liberal	Other ideology
CA	31%	18%	47%	4%	24%	43%	22%	11%
IA	32%	23%	41%	4%	29%	38%	20%	13%
MA	16%	40%	43%	1%	19%	43%	27%	11%
MN	27%	22%	41%	10%	25%	45%	17%	13%
MO	24%	28%	40%	8%	30%	40%	19%	11%
NM	34%	13%	51%	2%	30%	35%	20%	15%
OH	31%	17%	49%	3%	32%	38%	18%	12%
OR	32%	21%	44%	3%	27%	37%	26%	10%
WI	21%	31%	38%	10%	28%	39%	20%	13%
*AVG*	27.6%	23.7%	43.8%	5.0%	27.1%	39.8%	21.0%	12.1%
CHART C-1						CHART C-1
CHART C-1  DATA--INDEPENDENT VOTERS--SUPPORT
	Feb HRC	April HRC	Feb BHO	April BHO
CA	42%	51%	53%	43%
IA	30%	32%	51%	41%
MA	46%	37%	43%	40%
MN	32%	37%	49%	42%
MO	38%	43%	37%	47%
NM	31%	37%	48%	42%
OH	41%	47%	60%	47%
OR	34%	35%	42%	41%
WI	39%	36%	44%	46%
*AVG*	37.0%	39.4%	47.4%	43.2%
CHART C-1 Supplemental				CHART C-1 Supplemental
CHART C-1 (supp) DATA—
INDEPENDENT VOTERS—
SUPPORT CHANGE
	HRC Feb to April Change	BHO Feb to April Change
CA	9%	-10%
IA	2%	-10%
MA	-9%	-3%
MN	5%	-7%
MO	5%	10%
NM	6%	-6%
OH	6%	-13%
OR	1%	-1%
WI	-3%	2%
*AVG*	2.4%	-4.2%
CHART C-2						CHART C-2
CHART C-2 DATA--INDEPENDENT VOTERS--MARGINS
	Feb HRC	April HRC	Feb BHO	April BHO
CA	0%	15%	20%	-2%
IA	23%	-26%	14%	-8%
MA	3%	-22%	-4%	-14%
MN	18%	-16%	12%	-7%
MO	13%	-9%	-12%	0%
NM	29%	-17%	7%	-4%
OH	2%	-3%	32%	2%
OR	19%	-19%	-5%	-8%
WI	13%	-17%	-1%	1%
*AVG*	12.7%	-12.7%	7.0%	-4.4%
CHART C-3				CHART C-3
CHART C-3 DATA—
INDEPENDENT VOTERS—
MARGIN CHANGE
	HRC Feb to April Change	BHO Feb to April Change
CA	15%	-22%
IA	-3%	-22%
MA	-25%	-10%
MN	2%	-19%
MO	4%	12%
NM	12%	-11%
OH	-1%	-30%
OR	0%	-3%
WI	-4%	2%
*AVG*	0.0%	-11.4%
CHART C-4						CHART C-4
CHART C-4 DATA--Change in Obama (v McCain)
Margins by PARTY, Feb. to April
	Overall	Democrats	Republicans	Independents
CA	-4%	-1%	0%	-22%
IA	-2%	18%	-7%	-22%
MA	-5%	-7%	10%	-10%
MN	-1%	-6%	3%	-19%
MO	-2%	-14%	-9%	12%
NM	-13%	-9%	-17%	-11%
OH	-12%	-1%	-16%	-30%
OR	1%	1%	-10%	-3%
WI	-6%	0%	-17%	2%
*AVG*	-4.9%	-2.1%	-7.0%	-11.4%
CHART C-5						CHART C-5
CHART C-5 DATA--Change in Clinton (v McCain)
Margins by PARTY, Feb. to April
	Overall	Democrats	Republicans	Independents
CA	3%	-2%	-4%	15%
IA	-1%	10%	-3%	-3%
MA	-3%	5%	20%	-25%
MN	-3%	-18%	-2%	2%
MO	5%	0%	-5%	4%
NM	-3%	-9%	-1%	12%
OH	1%	7%	-7%	-1%
OR	6%	1%	5%	0%
WI	-4%	-4%	-5%	-4%
*AVG*	0.1%	-1.1%	-0.2%	0.0%
CHART C-6						CHART C-6
CHART C-6 DATA-- WEIGHED DATA  Margin Change
(versus McCain): Feb. to April,  Overall & by PARTY,
Clinton Margins Minus Obama Margins
	Overall	Democrats	Republicans	Independents
CA	7.0%	-0.5%	-1.1%	6.3%
IA	1.0%	-3.4%	0.3%	5.5%
MA	2.0%	5.4%	1.8%	-5.7%
MN	2.0%	-4.8%	-1.3%	4.9%
MO	7.0%	5.5%	1.1%	-2.3%
NM	10.0%	0.2%	5.2%	3.4%
OH	13.0%	3.9%	2.2%	5.3%
OR	5.0%	-0.1%	5.0%	0.8%
WI	2.0%	-1.8%	3.8%	-2.9%
*AVG*	5.0%	0.5%	1.9%	1.7%
CHART C-7						CHART C-7
CHART C-7  DATA--MODERATE VOTERS--SUPPORT
	Feb HRC	April HRC	Feb BHO	April BHO
CA	54%	50%	56%	46%
IA	49%	50%	57%	61%
MA	58%	52%	52%	42%
MN	57%	50%	60%	56%
MO	54%	57%	51%	54%
NM	50%	51%	52%	44%
OH	56%	65%	56%	53%
OR	47%	54%	54%	59%
WI	55%	52%	61%	58%
*AVG*	53.3%	53.4%	55.4%	52.6%
CHART C-7 Supplemental				CHART C-7 Supplemental
CHART C-7 (supp) DATA—
MODERATE VOTERS—
SUPPORT CHANGE
	HRC Feb to April Change	BHO Feb to April Change
CA	-4%	-10%
IA	1%	4%
MA	-6%	-10%
MN	-7%	-4%
MO	3%	3%
NM	1%	-8%
OH	9%	-3%
OR	7%	5%
WI	-3%	-3%
*AVG*	0.1%	-2.9%
CHART C-8						CHART C-8
CHART C-8  DATA--MODERATE VOTERS--SUPPORT
	Feb HRC	April HRC	Feb BHO	April BHO
CA	17%	7%	21%	1%
IA	11%	10%	23%	29%
MA	24%	7%	13%	-8%
MN	25%	5%	29%	18%
MO	16%	19%	14%	16%
NM	5%	8%	12%	-6%
OH	19%	35%	21%	13%
OR	3%	14%	17%	27%
WI	17%	11%	32%	22%
*AVG*	15.2%	12.9%	20.2%	12.4%
CHART C-9				CHART C-9
CHART C-9 DATA—MODERATE
VOTERS—MARGIN CHANGE
	HRC Feb to April Change	BHO Feb to April Change
CA	-10%	-20%
IA	-1%	6%
MA	-17%	-21%
MN	-20%	-11%
MO	3%	2%
NM	3%	-18%
OH	16%	-8%
OR	11%	10%
WI	-6%	-10%
*AVG*	-2.3%	-7.8%
CHART C-10						CHART C-10
CHART C-10 DATA--Change in CLINTON (v McCain)
Margins by IDEOLOGY, Feb. to April
	Overall	Liberals	Conserv.	Moderates
CA	3%	19%	-3%	-10%
IA	-1%	-19%	5%	-1%
MA	-3%	4%	13%	-17%
MN	-3%	5%	-6%	-20%
MO	5%	-5%	4%	3%
NM	-3%	-9%	7%	3%
OH	1%	8%	-6%	16%
OR	6%	-11%	2%	11%
WI	-4%	2%	-5%	-6%
*AVG*	0.1%	-0.7%	1.2%	-2.3%
CHART C-11						CHART C-11
CHART C-10 DATA--Change in OBAMA (v McCain)
Margins by IDEOLOGY, Feb. to April
	Overall	Liberals	Conserv.	Moderates
CA	-4%	0%	1%	-20%
IA	-2%	-25%	-8%	6%
MA	-5%	27%	-11%	-21%
MN	-1%	-4%	-2%	-11%
MO	-2%	-9%	-8%	2%
NM	-13%	-21%	13%	-18%
OH	-12%	-11%	0%	-8%
OR	1%	-23%	-3%	10%
WI	-6%	-3%	-3%	-10%
*AVG*	-4.9%	-7.7%	-2.3%	-7.8%
CHART C-12						CHART C-12
CHART C-12 DATA-- WEIGHED DATA  Margin
Change (versus McCain): Feb. to April,
Overall & by IDEOLOGY,
Clinton Margins Minus Obama Margins
	Overall	Liberal	Moderate	Conserv.
CA	7.0%	4.2%	4.2%	-1.0%
IA	1.0%	0.3%	-2.4%	3.8%
MA	2.0%	-4.8%	1.7%	4.6%
MN	-2.0%	1.5%	-4.2%	-0.7%
MO	7.0%	1.2%	0.3%	3.6%
NM	10.0%	2.4%	7.8%	-1.9%
OH	13.0%	3.4%	9.2%	-2.1%
OR	5.0%	2.5%	0.7%	1.5%
WI	2.0%	1.0%	1.1%	-0.6%
*AVG*	5.0%	1.3%	2.1%	0.8%