EXPLATION FOR CHART 1

This chart uses total vote percentages, and unweighed gender percentages for each candidate in the two races (Mcain V Clinton, McCain v Obama), sort them by the percentage of black voters in each state, creates trend lines for each variable, and then shifts the data upward or downward while maintaining the same overall proportions

 

Here is the original data, sorted by black voter percentages (votes actually means percentage of overall support)

 

MCCAIN VERSUS OBAMA

Black

 

MCCAIN V CLINTON

MCAIN DATA

OBAMA DATA

Voter

 

MCCAIN DATA

CLINTON DATA

 votes

male

female

votes

male

female

percentage

state

tvotes

male

female

votes

male

female

52%

55%

48%

37%

41%

39%

0%

ID

63%

68%

58%

27%

22%

32%

39%

46%

32%

47%

58%

53%

0%

ME

42%

56%

30%

48%

37%

58%

47%

54%

41%

36%

42%

37%

0%

MT

53%

57%

49%

33%

29%

37%

44%

49%

40%

42%

49%

46%

0%

NH

49%

57%

42%

41%

32%

49%

47%

49%

44%

40%

45%

40%

0%

SD

52%

57%

47%

40%

37%

44%

29%

31%

28%

63%

63%

63%

0%

VT

39%

45%

33%

49%

42%

56%

54%

59%

49%

32%

39%

35%

0%

WY

61%

65%

57%

28%

23%

34%

31%

35%

27%

56%

66%

56%

1%

HI

39%

46%

32%

43%

34%

53%

42%

44%

39%

45%

48%

45%

1%

ND

54%

59%

49%

35%

28%

41%

43%

48%

38%

46%

54%

46%

1%

NM

47%

54%

40%

47%

43%

52%

41%

46%

35%

45%

52%

46%

1%

OR

48%

57%

40%

43%

33%

52%

50%

54%

46%

36%

43%

37%

1%

UT

65%

71%

60%

27%

22%

32%

41%

46%

37%

45%

54%

50%

2%

IA

46%

51%

41%

41%

37%

46%

42%

47%

37%

44%

53%

48%

2%

MN

43%

51%

35%

47%

37%

57%

38%

40%

35%

51%

53%

52%

2%

WA

46%

51%

40%

44%

38%

50%

53%

54%

52%

34%

36%

34%

2%

WV

42%

50%

35%

47%

39%

54%

48%

54%

42%

39%

47%

40%

3%

AK

56%

65%

46%

34%

25%

43%

51%

57%

46%

33%

45%

36%

3%

AZ

54%

64%

44%

39%

28%

50%

45%

48%

42%

41%

43%

40%

3%

NE

57%

64%

51%

30%

22%

37%

41%

48%

35%

42%

57%

48%

4%

CO

48%

60%

37%

42%

26%

57%

42%

44%

40%

50%

49%

47%

4%

MA

37%

41%

33%

55%

51%

58%

38%

44%

33%

48%

57%

51%

4%

RI

37%

45%

29%

54%

46%

61%

40%

48%

33%

43%

58%

51%

4%

WI

44%

52%

37%

48%

40%

55%

50%

59%

42%

35%

47%

40%

5%

KS

51%

62%

41%

42%

32%

52%

54%

59%

49%

31%

35%

30%

6%

KY

50%

58%

43%

41%

33%

48%

41%

43%

39%

43%

49%

41%

6%

NV

49%

57%

42%

41%

33%

50%

57%

61%

54%

32%

36%

31%

6%

OK

50%

56%

45%

42%

37%

47%

40%

43%

37%

49%

53%

51%

7%

CA

40%

51%

31%

50%

37%

62%

34%

36%

33%

52%

57%

51%

8%

CT

40%

50%

32%

50%

40%

59%

50%

51%

48%

39%

43%

37%

8%

IN

53%

57%

49%

36%

32%

41%

47%

52%

43%

41%

43%

40%

8%

PA

46%

54%

39%

47%

38%

55%

47%

50%

45%

45%

46%

34%

9%

TX

49%

54%

44%

42%

38%

47%

48%

54%

42%

39%

44%

38%

10%

MO

48%

56%

41%

44%

38%

48%

40%

40%

40%

49%

51%

47%

10%

OH

40%

42%

37%

50%

47%

53%

47%

43%

51%

52%

39%

39%

12%

FL

42%

44%

40%

51%

49%

53%

31%

36%

26%

59%

62%

57%

12%

IL

37%

48%

27%

48%

38%

56%

43%

53%

35%

37%

48%

37%

12%

NJ

42%

49%

36%

47%

40%

53%

53%

55%

50%

30%

36%

25%

13%

AR

40%

44%

35%

51%

45%

57%

45%

51%

39%

43%

49%

39%

13%

MI

44%

55%

35%

44%

36%

52%

38%

48%

29%

43%

60%

46%

13%

NY

33%

41%

26%

55%

44%

65%

54%

53%

55%

39%

37%

30%

14%

TN

46%

48%

45%

46%

42%

49%

41%

44%

38%

49%

52%

42%

17%

DE

41%

48%

35%

46%

37%

54%

47%

50%

44%

45%

49%

37%

18%

VA

50%

56%

44%

40%

37%

44%

47%

52%

41%

41%

49%

33%

19%

NC

49%

57%

40%

41%

36%

47%

54%

55%

53%

39%

40%

24%

23%

AL

51%

55%

48%

41%

40%

41%

40%

45%

35%

48%

58%

41%

23%

MD

40%

48%

33%

49%

40%

58%

48%

55%

43%

39%

51%

28%

25%

SC

48%

54%

43%

42%

38%

46%

54%

61%

47%

36%

46%

25%

26%

GA

56%

61%

51%

35%

31%

38%

54%

58%

51%

36%

42%

18%

30%

LA

51%

57%

45%

41%

34%

47%

54%

57%

51%

40%

42%

20%

33%

MS

51%

56%

46%

42%

36%

46%

 

The values above were added to the numbers below…..

MCAIN DATA

OBAMA DATA

Black 

 

MCCAIN DATA

CLINTON DATA

 votes

male

female

votes

male

female

vpters

state

tvotes

male

female

votes

male

female

0.45

0.45

0.45

0.45

0.45

0.45

0.65

 

0.15

0.15

0.15

0.15

0.15

0.15

 

Resulting in the values seen below – retaining the proper proportion of each trend line,

MCCAIN VERSUS OBAMA

Black

 

MCCAIN V CLINTON

MCAIN DATA

OBAMA DATA

Voter

 

MCCAIN DATA

CLINTON DATA

 votes

male

female

votes

male

female

percentage

state

tvotes

male

female

votes

male

female

97%

100%

93%

82%

86%

84%

65%

ID

78%

83%

73%

42%

37%

47%

84%

91%

77%

92%

103%

98%

65%

ME

57%

71%

45%

63%

52%

73%

92%

99%

86%

81%

87%

82%

65%

MT

68%

72%

64%

48%

44%

52%

89%

94%

85%

87%

94%

91%

65%

NH

64%

72%

57%

56%

47%

64%

92%

94%

89%

85%

90%

85%

65%

SD

67%

72%

62%

55%

52%

59%

74%

76%

73%

108%

108%

108%

65%

VT

54%

60%

48%

64%

57%

71%

99%

104%

94%

77%

84%

80%

65%

WY

76%

80%

72%

43%

38%

49%

76%

80%

72%

101%

111%

101%

66%

HI

54%

61%

47%

58%

49%

68%

87%

89%

84%

90%

93%

90%

66%

ND

69%

74%

64%

50%

43%

56%

88%

93%

83%

91%

99%

91%

66%

NM

62%

69%

55%

62%

58%

67%

86%

91%

80%

90%

97%

91%

66%

OR

63%

72%

55%

58%

48%

67%

95%

99%

91%

81%

88%

82%

66%

UT

80%

86%

75%

42%

37%

47%

86%

91%

82%

90%

99%

95%

67%

IA

61%

66%

56%

56%

52%

61%

87%

92%

82%

89%

98%

93%

67%

MN

58%

66%

50%

62%

52%

72%

83%

85%

80%

96%

98%

97%

67%

WA

61%

66%

55%

59%

53%

65%

98%

99%

97%

79%

81%

79%

67%

WV

57%

65%

50%

62%

54%

69%

93%

99%

87%

84%

92%

85%

68%

AK

71%

80%

61%

49%

40%

58%

96%

102%

91%

78%

90%

81%

68%

AZ

69%

79%

59%

54%

43%

65%

90%

93%

87%

86%

88%

85%

68%

NE

72%

79%

66%

45%

37%

52%

86%

93%

80%

87%

102%

93%

69%

CO

63%

75%

52%

57%

41%

72%

87%

89%

85%

95%

94%

92%

69%

MA

52%

56%

48%

70%

66%

73%

83%

89%

78%

93%

102%

96%

69%

RI

52%

60%

44%

69%

61%

76%

85%

93%

78%

88%

103%

96%

69%

WI

59%

67%

52%

63%

55%

70%

95%

104%

87%

80%

92%

85%

70%

KS

66%

77%

56%

57%

47%

67%

99%

104%

94%

76%

80%

75%

71%

KY

65%

73%

58%

56%

48%

63%

86%

88%

84%

88%

94%

86%

71%

NV

64%

72%

57%

56%

48%

65%

102%

106%

99%

77%

81%

76%

71%

OK

65%

71%

60%

57%

52%

62%

85%

88%

82%

94%

98%

96%

72%

CA

55%

66%

46%

65%

52%

77%

79%

81%

78%

97%

102%

96%

73%

CT

55%

65%

47%

65%

55%

74%

95%

96%

93%

84%

88%

82%

73%

IN

68%

72%

64%

51%

47%

56%

92%

97%

88%

86%

88%

85%

73%

PA

61%

69%

54%

62%

53%

70%

92%

95%

90%

90%

91%

79%

74%

TX

64%

69%

59%

57%

53%

62%

93%

99%

87%

84%

89%

83%

75%

MO

63%

71%

56%

59%

53%

63%

85%

85%

85%

94%

96%

92%

75%

OH

55%

57%

52%

65%

62%

68%

92%

88%

96%

97%

84%

84%

77%

FL

57%

59%

55%

66%

64%

68%

76%

81%

71%

104%

107%

102%

77%

IL

52%

63%

42%

63%

53%

71%

88%

98%

80%

82%

93%

82%

77%

NJ

57%

64%

51%

62%

55%

68%

98%

100%

95%

75%

81%

70%

78%

AR

55%

59%

50%

66%

60%

72%

90%

96%

84%

88%

94%

84%

78%

MI

59%

70%

50%

59%

51%

67%

83%

93%

74%

88%

105%

91%

78%

NY

48%

56%

41%

70%

59%

80%

99%

98%

100%

84%

82%

75%

79%

TN

61%

63%

60%

61%

57%

64%

86%

89%

83%

94%

97%

87%

82%

DE

56%

63%

50%

61%

52%

69%

92%

95%

89%

90%

94%

82%

83%

VA

65%

71%

59%

55%

52%

59%

92%

97%

86%

86%

94%

78%

84%

NC

64%

72%

55%

56%

51%

62%

99%

100%

98%

84%

85%

69%

88%

AL

66%

70%

63%

56%

55%

56%

85%

90%

80%

93%

103%

86%

88%

MD

55%

63%

48%

64%

55%

73%

93%

100%

88%

84%

96%

73%

90%

SC

63%

69%

58%

57%

53%

61%

99%

106%

92%

81%

91%

70%

91%

GA

71%

76%

66%

50%

46%

53%

99%

103%

96%

81%

87%

63%

95%

LA

66%

72%

60%

56%

49%

62%

99%

102%

96%

85%

87%

65%

98%

MS

66%

71%

61%

57%

51%

61%

 

The resulting chart looks like this

 

without the adjustments, it looks like this

 

 

Which is really a mess.