DATA AND EXPLANATION OF CHARTS FOR ADDENDUM (OHIO)
Contents
DATA AND EXPLANATION FOR CHART A3
DATA AND EXPLANATION FOR CHART A4
SURVEY USA OHIO PRESIDENTIAL POLLING (GENDER AND RACE) UNWEIGHED AND WEIGHED DATA
DATA AND EXPLANATION FOR CHART A3
Chart A3 uses all the data in the table below. The color of the text corresponds to the color of the line used (gender gap data is shaded to make it easier to read). The “negative” gender gap values are calculated “Male % MINUS Female % = Gender Gap %, and the values are negative when a candidate has more female support.
OHIO -TOTAL, MALE, & FEMALE MARGINS and GENDER GAPS
|
|||||
|
|
Clinton (v McCain) |
|
Obama (v McCain) |
||
|
|
Margins-All voters |
Gender gap |
|
Margins-All voters |
Gender gap |
|
3-Dec |
-8% |
-17% |
|
-11% |
-13% |
|
Dec
13-15 |
0% |
-20% |
|
-9% |
-12% |
|
Jan 1-4 |
-2% |
-10% |
|
-7% |
-16% |
|
Feb
15-17 |
10% |
-9% |
|
3% |
-11% |
|
Feb
26-28 |
10% |
-6% |
|
10% |
-2% |
|
Mar
14-16 |
6% |
-6% |
|
-7% |
-2% |
|
|
MARGINS BY GENDER
|
||||
|
|
Clinton (v McCain) |
|
Obama (v McCain) |
||
|
|
Male |
Female |
|
Male |
Female |
|
Dec 3 |
-26% |
8% |
|
-26% |
2% |
|
Dec
13-15 |
-20% |
16% |
|
-19% |
-1% |
|
Jan 1-4 |
-12% |
8% |
|
-22% |
8% |
|
Feb
15-17 |
0% |
19% |
|
-8% |
14% |
|
Feb
26-28 |
5% |
16% |
|
9% |
11% |
|
Mar
14-16 |
2% |
9% |
|
-10% |
-4% |
DATA AND EXPLANATION FOR CHART A4
Chart A4 uses all the data in the table below (total margins and gender gap number are the same a the chart above.. The color of the text corresponds to the color of the line used (Black support data appears as dotted lines on the chart).
|
OHIO: SUPPORT BY RACE, AND TOTAL MARGINS AND
GENDER GAPS |
|||||
|
|
Support by Race |
||||
|
|
Clinton (v McCain) |
|
Obama (v McCain) |
||
|
|
Whte |
Black |
|
White |
Black |
|
Dec 3 |
39% |
78% |
|
36% |
77% |
|
Dec 13-15 |
43% |
63% |
|
34% |
75% |
|
Jan 1-4 |
42% |
74% |
|
36% |
88% |
|
Feb 15-17 |
49% |
70% |
|
42% |
84% |
|
Feb 26-28 |
49% |
64% |
|
47% |
78% |
|
Mar 14-16 |
48% |
64% |
|
37% |
84% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Clinton (v McCain) |
|
Obama (v McCain) |
||
|
|
Margins-All voters |
Gender gap |
|
Margins-All voters |
Gender gap |
|
Dec 3 |
-8% |
-17% |
|
-11% |
-13% |
|
Dec 13-15 |
0% |
-20% |
|
-9% |
-12% |
|
Jan 1-4 |
-2% |
-10% |
|
-7% |
-16% |
|
Feb 15-17 |
10% |
-9% |
|
3% |
-11% |
|
Feb 26-28 |
10% |
-6% |
|
10% |
-2% |
|
Mar 14-16 |
6% |
-6% |
|
-7% |
-2% |
As noted in the text, variations in the percentage of votes by party may have distorted some of these results. Below is the party distribution by poll data
PARTY DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWN
|
||||
|
|
GOP |
Dem |
Ind |
total |
|
Dec 3 |
30% |
42% |
24% |
96% |
|
Dec 13-15 |
29% |
44% |
23% |
96% |
|
Jan 1-4 |
34% |
40% |
24% |
98% |
|
Feb 15-17 |
29% |
44% |
23% |
96% |
|
Feb 26-28 |
26% |
49% |
18% |
93% |
|
Mar 14-16 |
34% |
44% |
18% |
96% |
SURVEY USA OHIO PRESIDENTIAL POLLING (GENDER AND RACE) UNWEIGHED AND WEIGHED DATA
(Party affiliation percentages appear under the data of each poll)
UNWEIGHED DATA
|
|
WEIGHED DATA
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
total |
male |
female |
Gender Gap |
|
white |
Black |
|
|
|
total |
|
male |
female |
Gender Gap |
|
white |
Black |
|
Dec 3 |
McCain |
|
51% |
60% |
43% |
17% |
|
55% |
20% |
|
Dec 3 |
McCain |
51% |
|
28.2% |
22.8% |
5.4% |
|
45.7% |
2.2% |
|
|
Clinton |
|
43% |
34% |
51% |
-17% |
|
39% |
78% |
|
|
Clinton |
43% |
|
16.0% |
27.0% |
-11.1% |
|
32.4% |
8.6% |
|
GOP 30% |
Undecided |
|
6% |
5% |
6% |
-1% |
|
6% |
2% |
|
GOP 30% |
Undecided |
6% |
|
2.4% |
3.2% |
-0.8% |
|
5.0% |
0.2% |
|
Dem 42% |
Margin |
|
-8% |
26% |
-8% |
34% |
|
16% |
-58% |
|
Dem 42% |
Margin |
-8% |
|
12.2% |
-4.2% |
16.5% |
|
13.3% |
-6.4% |
|
Ind 24% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ind 24% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Distribution |
|
|
47% |
53% |
|
|
83% |
11% |
|
|
Distribution |
|
|
47% |
53% |
|
|
83% |
11% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
McCain |
|
51% |
59% |
44% |
15% |
|
55% |
21% |
|
|
McCain |
51% |
|
27.7% |
23.3% |
4.4% |
|
45.7% |
2.3% |
|
|
Obama |
|
40% |
33% |
46% |
-13% |
|
36% |
77% |
|
|
Obama |
40% |
|
15.5% |
24.4% |
-8.9% |
|
29.9% |
8.5% |
|
|
Undecided |
|
9% |
8% |
10% |
-2% |
|
10% |
2% |
|
|
Undecided |
9% |
|
3.8% |
5.3% |
-1.5% |
|
8.3% |
0.2% |
|
|
Margin |
|
11% |
26% |
-2% |
28% |
|
19% |
-56% |
|
|
Margin |
11% |
|
12.2% |
-1.1% |
13.3% |
|
15.8% |
-6.2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
total |
male |
female |
Gender Gap |
|
white |
Black |
|
|
|
total |
|
male |
female |
Gender Gap |
|
white |
Black |
|
Dec 13-15 |
McCain |
|
45% |
54% |
38% |
16% |
|
47% |
31% |
|
Dec 13-15 |
McCain |
45% |
|
25.4% |
20.1% |
5.2% |
|
40.4% |
3.1% |
|
|
Clinton |
|
45% |
34% |
54% |
-20% |
|
43% |
63% |
|
|
Clinton |
45% |
|
16.0% |
28.6% |
-12.6% |
|
37.0% |
6.3% |
|
GOP 29% |
Undecided |
|
10% |
12% |
8% |
4% |
|
10% |
7% |
|
GOP 29% |
Undecided |
10% |
|
5.6% |
4.2% |
1.4% |
|
8.6% |
0.7% |
|
Dem 44% |
Margin |
|
0% |
20% |
-16% |
36% |
|
4% |
-32% |
|
Dem 44% |
Margin |
0% |
|
9.4% |
-8.5% |
17.9% |
|
3.4% |
-3.2% |
|
Ind 23% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ind 23% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Distribution |
|
|
47% |
53% |
|
|
86% |
10% |
|
|
Distribution |
|
|
47% |
53% |
|
|
86% |
10% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
McCain |
|
47% |
50% |
44% |
6% |
|
51% |
16% |
|
|
McCain |
47% |
|
23.5% |
23.3% |
0.2% |
|
43.9% |
1.6% |
|
|
Obama |
|
38% |
31% |
43% |
-12% |
|
34% |
75% |
|
|
Obama |
38% |
|
14.6% |
22.8% |
-8.2% |
|
29.2% |
7.5% |
|
|
Undecided |
|
15% |
18% |
12% |
6% |
|
16% |
9% |
|
|
Undecided |
15% |
|
8.5% |
6.4% |
2.1% |
|
13.8% |
0.9% |
|
|
Margin |
|
9% |
19% |
1% |
18% |
|
17% |
-59% |
|
|
Margin |
9% |
|
8.9% |
0.5% |
8.4% |
|
14.6% |
-5.9% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
total |
male |
female |
Gender Gap |
|
white |
Black |
|
|
|
total |
|
male |
female |
Gender Gap |
|
white |
Black |
|
Jan 1-4 |
McCain |
|
48% |
53% |
43% |
10% |
|
52% |
20% |
|
Jan 1-4 |
McCain |
48% |
|
24.9% |
22.8% |
2.1% |
|
44.2% |
2.2% |
|
|
Clinton |
|
46% |
41% |
51% |
-10% |
|
42% |
74% |
|
|
Clinton |
46% |
|
19.3% |
27.0% |
-7.8% |
|
35.7% |
8.1% |
|
GOP 34% |
Undecided |
|
6% |
6% |
7% |
-1% |
|
7% |
5% |
|
GOP 34% |
Undecided |
6% |
|
2.8% |
3.7% |
-0.9% |
|
6.0% |
0.6% |
|
Dem 40% |
Margin |
|
2% |
12% |
-8% |
20% |
|
10% |
-54% |
|
Dem 40% |
Margin |
2% |
|
5.6% |
-4.2% |
9.9% |
|
8.5% |
-5.9% |
|
Ind 24% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ind 24% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Distribution |
|
|
47% |
53% |
|
|
85% |
11% |
|
|
Distribution |
|
|
47% |
53% |
|
|
85% |
11% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
McCain |
|
50% |
57% |
43% |
14% |
|
55% |
11% |
|
|
McCain |
50% |
|
26.8% |
22.8% |
4.0% |
|
46.8% |
1.2% |
|
|
Obama |
|
43% |
35% |
51% |
-16% |
|
36% |
88% |
|
|
Obama |
43% |
|
16.5% |
27.0% |
-10.6% |
|
30.6% |
9.7% |
|
|
Undecided |
|
7% |
8% |
6% |
2% |
|
8% |
1% |
|
|
Undecided |
7% |
|
3.8% |
3.2% |
0.6% |
|
6.8% |
0.1% |
|
|
Margin |
|
7% |
22% |
-8% |
30% |
|
19% |
-77% |
|
|
Margin |
7% |
|
10.3% |
-4.2% |
14.6% |
|
16.2% |
-8.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
total |
male |
female |
Gender Gap |
|
white |
Black |
|
|
|
total |
|
male |
female |
Gender Gap |
|
white |
Black |
|
Feb 15-17 |
McCain |
|
42% |
47% |
37% |
10% |
|
45% |
18% |
|
Feb 15-17 |
McCain |
42% |
|
22.1% |
19.6% |
2.5% |
|
38.7% |
1.8% |
|
|
Clinton |
|
52% |
47% |
56% |
-9% |
|
49% |
70% |
|
|
Clinton |
52% |
|
22.1% |
29.7% |
-7.6% |
|
42.1% |
7.0% |
|
GOP 29% |
Undecided |
|
7% |
7% |
6% |
1% |
|
6% |
12% |
|
GOP 29% |
Undecided |
7% |
|
3.3% |
3.2% |
0.1% |
|
5.2% |
1.2% |
|
Dem 44% |
Margin |
|
-10% |
0% |
-19% |
19% |
|
-4% |
-52% |
|
Dem 44% |
Margin |
-10% |
|
0.0% |
-10.1% |
10.1% |
|
-3.4% |
-5.2% |
|
Ind 23% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ind 23% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Distribution |
|
|
47% |
53% |
|
|
86% |
10% |
|
|
Distribution |
|
|
47% |
53% |
|
|
86% |
10% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
McCain |
|
44% |
50% |
39% |
11% |
|
49% |
11% |
|
|
McCain |
44% |
|
23.5% |
20.7% |
2.8% |
|
42.1% |
1.1% |
|
|
Obama |
|
47% |
42% |
53% |
-11% |
|
42% |
84% |
|
|
Obama |
47% |
|
19.7% |
28.1% |
-8.4% |
|
36.1% |
8.4% |
|
|
Undecided |
|
8% |
9% |
8% |
1% |
|
9% |
4% |
|
|
Undecided |
8% |
|
4.2% |
4.2% |
0.0% |
|
7.7% |
0.4% |
|
|
Margin |
|
-3% |
8% |
-14% |
22% |
|
7% |
-73% |
|
|
Margin |
-3% |
|
3.8% |
-7.4% |
11.2% |
|
6.0% |
-7.3% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
total |
male |
female |
Gender Gap |
|
white |
Black |
|
|
|
total |
|
male |
female |
Gender Gap |
|
white |
Black |
|
Feb 26-28 |
McCain |
|
40% |
42% |
37% |
5% |
|
42% |
11% |
|
Feb 26-28 |
McCain |
40% |
|
19.7% |
19.6% |
0.1% |
|
36.5% |
1.1% |
|
|
Clinton |
|
50% |
47% |
53% |
-6% |
|
49% |
64% |
|
|
Clinton |
50% |
|
22.1% |
28.1% |
-6.0% |
|
42.6% |
6.4% |
|
GOP 26% |
Undecided |
|
10% |
11% |
10% |
1% |
|
8% |
24% |
|
GOP 26% |
Undecided |
10% |
|
5.2% |
5.3% |
-0.1% |
|
7.0% |
2.4% |
|
Dem 49% |
Margin |
|
-10% |
-5% |
-16% |
11% |
|
-7% |
-53% |
|
Dem 49% |
Margin |
-10% |
|
-2.4% |
-8.5% |
6.1% |
|
-6.1% |
-5.3% |
|
Ind 18% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ind 18% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Distribution |
|
|
47% |
53% |
|
|
87% |
10% |
|
|
Distribution |
|
|
47% |
53% |
|
|
87% |
10% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
McCain |
|
40% |
40% |
40% |
0% |
|
42% |
20% |
|
|
McCain |
40% |
|
18.8% |
21.2% |
-2.4% |
|
36.5% |
2.0% |
|
|
Obama |
|
50% |
49% |
51% |
-2% |
|
47% |
78% |
|
|
Obama |
50% |
|
23.0% |
27.0% |
-4.0% |
|
40.9% |
7.8% |
|
|
Undecided |
|
10% |
11% |
10% |
1% |
|
11% |
2% |
|
|
Undecided |
10% |
|
5.2% |
5.3% |
-0.1% |
|
9.6% |
0.2% |
|
|
Margin |
|
-10% |
-9% |
-11% |
2% |
|
-5% |
-58% |
|
|
Margin |
-10% |
|
-4.2% |
-5.8% |
1.6% |
|
-4.4% |
-5.8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
total |
male |
female |
Gender Gap |
|
white |
Black |
|
|
|
total |
|
male |
female |
Gender Gap |
|
white |
Black |
|
Mar 14-16 |
McCain |
|
44% |
45% |
44% |
1% |
|
48% |
21% |
|
Mar 14-16 |
McCain |
44% |
|
21.6% |
22.9% |
-1.3% |
|
40.8% |
2.3% |
|
|
Clinton |
|
50% |
47% |
53% |
-6% |
|
48% |
64% |
|
|
Clinton |
50% |
|
22.6% |
27.6% |
-5.0% |
|
40.8% |
7.0% |
|
GOP 34% |
Undecided |
|
6% |
8% |
3% |
5% |
|
4% |
15% |
|
GOP 34% |
Undecided |
6% |
|
3.8% |
1.6% |
2.3% |
|
3.4% |
1.7% |
|
Dem 44% |
Margin |
|
-6% |
-2% |
-9% |
7% |
|
0% |
-43% |
|
Dem 44% |
Margin |
-6% |
|
-1.0% |
-4.7% |
3.7% |
|
0.0% |
-4.7% |
|
Ind 18% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ind 18% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Distribution |
|
|
48% |
52% |
|
|
85% |
11% |
|
|
Distribution |
|
|
48% |
52% |
|
|
85% |
11% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
McCain |
|
50% |
52% |
48% |
4% |
|
56% |
13% |
|
|
McCain |
50% |
|
25.0% |
25.0% |
0.0% |
|
47.6% |
1.4% |
|
|
Obama |
|
43% |
42% |
44% |
-2% |
|
37% |
84% |
|
|
Obama |
43% |
|
20.2% |
22.9% |
-2.7% |
|
31.5% |
9.2% |
|
|
Undecided |
|
7% |
6% |
8% |
-2% |
|
7% |
3% |
|
|
Undecided |
7% |
|
2.9% |
4.2% |
-1.3% |
|
6.0% |
0.3% |
|
|
Margin |
|
7% |
10% |
4% |
6% |
|
19% |
-71% |
|
|
Margin |
7% |
|
4.8% |
2.1% |
2.7% |
|
16.2% |
-7.8% |