DATA AND EXPLANATION OF CHARTS  FOR ADDENDUM (OHIO)

 

Contents

DATA AND EXPLANATION FOR CHART A3

DATA AND EXPLANATION FOR CHART A4

PARTY DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWN

SURVEY USA OHIO PRESIDENTIAL POLLING (GENDER AND RACE)  UNWEIGHED AND WEIGHED DATA

 

DATA AND EXPLANATION FOR CHART A3

Chart A3 uses all the data in the table below.  The color of the text corresponds to the color of the line used (gender gap data is shaded to make it easier to read).  The “negative” gender gap values are calculated “Male % MINUS Female % = Gender Gap %, and the values are negative when a candidate has more female support.

OHIO -TOTAL, MALE, & FEMALE MARGINS and GENDER GAPS

 

Clinton (v McCain)

 

Obama (v McCain)

 

Margins-All voters

Gender gap

 

Margins-All voters

Gender gap

3-Dec

-8%

-17%

 

-11%

-13%

Dec 13-15

0%

-20%

 

-9%

-12%

Jan 1-4

-2%

-10%

 

-7%

-16%

Feb 15-17

10%

-9%

 

3%

-11%

Feb 26-28

10%

-6%

 

10%

-2%

Mar 14-16

6%

-6%

 

-7%

-2%

 

MARGINS BY GENDER

 

Clinton (v McCain)

 

Obama (v McCain)

 

Male

Female

 

Male

Female

Dec 3

-26%

8%

 

-26%

2%

Dec 13-15

-20%

16%

 

-19%

-1%

Jan 1-4

-12%

8%

 

-22%

8%

Feb 15-17

0%

19%

 

-8%

14%

Feb 26-28

5%

16%

 

9%

11%

Mar 14-16

2%

9%

 

-10%

-4%

 

DATA AND EXPLANATION FOR CHART A4

Chart A4 uses all the data in the table below (total margins and gender gap number are the same a the chart above..  The color of the text corresponds to the color of the line used (Black support data appears as dotted lines on the chart).

OHIO:  SUPPORT BY RACE, AND TOTAL MARGINS AND GENDER GAPS

 

Support by Race

 

Clinton (v McCain)

 

Obama (v McCain)

 

Whte

Black

 

White

Black

Dec 3

39%

78%

 

36%

77%

Dec 13-15

43%

63%

 

34%

75%

Jan 1-4

42%

74%

 

36%

88%

Feb 15-17

49%

70%

 

42%

84%

Feb 26-28

49%

64%

 

47%

78%

Mar 14-16

48%

64%

 

37%

84%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Clinton (v McCain)

 

Obama (v McCain)

 

Margins-All voters

Gender gap

 

Margins-All voters

Gender gap

Dec 3

-8%

-17%

 

-11%

-13%

Dec 13-15

0%

-20%

 

-9%

-12%

Jan 1-4

-2%

-10%

 

-7%

-16%

Feb 15-17

10%

-9%

 

3%

-11%

Feb 26-28

10%

-6%

 

10%

-2%

Mar 14-16

6%

-6%

 

-7%

-2%

 

As noted in the text, variations in the percentage of votes by party may have distorted some of these results.  Below is the party distribution by poll data

PARTY DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWN

 

GOP

Dem

Ind

total

Dec  3

30%

42%

24%

96%

Dec 13-15

29%

44%

23%

96%

Jan 1-4

34%

40%

24%

98%

Feb 15-17

29%

44%

23%

96%

Feb 26-28

26%

49%

18%

93%

Mar 14-16

34%

44%

18%